PS: Sino-EU Vision
Defining a Sino-European Vision
How strong is the European Union’s strategic partnership with China? Indeed, does it even exist?
Many Europeans believe that China, one of the EU’s ten so-called strategic partners, behaves more like a competitor. And many Chinese, for whom the EU is just one of more than 70 strategic partners, complain that the EU’s policy toward China is more commercial than strategic.
Such grievances are rooted in different interpretations of the nature and purpose of strategic partnerships. Where China sees an enduring, comprehensive, and stable relationship that extends beyond everyday issues, Europe sees market access and better global governance, but lacks a clear long-term vision for the partnership. Unresolved issues – for example, the EU’s arms embargo on China, its unwillingness to grant it market-economy status, and the recent anti-dumping and countervailing-duties cases that it has brought against the Chinese – aggravate these divergent perspectives.
For China, the value of a partnership with the EU lies in three main areas. First, it offsets “Americanization” – that is, the influence of the United States over global economic development, and the spread of the American lifestyle and mentality. The EU’s global influence – won through its peace-keeping missions, diplomatic efforts, aid provision, and non-traditional security mechanisms – counterbalances US domination over the international community.
Second, the EU, with its technical, financial, and market strengths, is China’s largest trade partner and a major source of technology transfer. It has respected China’s values, while sharing knowledge, skills, and innovations that support China’s modernization and efforts to increase domestic demand.
Finally, Europe’s emphasis on harmonious development has served as an example for China’s peaceful rise. Indeed, China’s 12th Five-Year Plan shares some features with the EU’s Horizon 2020 strategy for sustainable, smart, and inclusive growth.
But the EU lacks a coherent strategy for engaging with China, and its ongoing identity crisis over whether it is a single super-state or a bloc of individual states is impeding its ability to define a more effective approach.
As it stands, China-EU relations are based largely on economic and trade linkages. But these connections are unlikely to develop further in the foreseeable future, given weakening European demand. Moreover, while some EU countries, such as Germany, benefit significantly from China’s economic development, others view competition from China as problematic.
The partnership’s limited strategic dimension largely reflects the concerns of the EU’s three biggest members – the United Kingdom, France, and Germany. Given that EU institutions tend to play the “bad cop,” so that member states can assume the role of “good cop,” the EU has become associated with disappointment for China.
The relationship also suffers from diplomatic asymmetry, with the EU stronger on multilateralism and China stronger on bilateralism. Thus, as global multilateralism has given way to increased bilateralism in recent years, the EU’s strategic clout has declined.
In a bid to retain its international authority – and to prevent an increasingly influential China from setting new standards for international trade – the EU has been pursuing an ambitious trade and investment agreement with the US. This, along with China’s diminished role in World Trade Organization trade-liberalization talks, brought about by the failure of the Doha Development Round, has placed further strain on the EU-China relationship.
Furthermore, the EU’s refusal to accept any trade-off on values like the rule of law is impeding its ability to become a more pragmatic negotiator. Strategic players must adopt a more realistic approach.
Similarly, the EU’s emphasis on the power of civil society can be viewed as giving in to populism. While Europeans might believe that nationalism prevails in China, it is the European Parliament’s more assertive role in mobilizing civil society that is arguably hindering the development of clear strategies.
China and Europe are not operating on a level playing field. Given that China is still modernizing, it reaps more benefits from globalization than does the EU, which is moving toward a post-modern stage of development. This discrepancy has prevented strategic bilateral cooperation on global governance issues.
In fact, most EU countries – with the notable exception of Germany – are in decline, leading a conservative and defensive Europe to become preoccupied with its own commercial interests. Nevertheless, many Europeans still believe that the EU has sufficient power to achieve its goals vis-à-vis China.
America’s involvement complicates the bilateral relationship further. Given that the EU’s security policy is largely determined by NATO, it is aligned with that of the US. And the renminbi’s peg to the US dollar gives America leverage to check China’s strategic choices. China’s financial dependence and the EU’s security dependence on the US mean that America wields ultimate control over Sino-European relations.
Several measures could nonetheless strengthen the China-EU strategic partnership. First, both sides should build on their economic relationship by pursuing more strategic trade policies – for example, China could sell rare earth minerals to Europe rather than to Japan – and expanding their ties to include financial cooperation. In order to boost investment, a China-EU free-trade agreement should be combined with a mutual investment treaty. A mutual currency-exchange agreement could deepen the relationship further.
Reform of the international monetary system is also essential. Along with the US dollar, the euro is a leading reserve currency, and, once internationalized, the renminbi could potentially become one as well. The EU and China have a growing interest in making the international monetary system more balanced, sustainable, secure, and inclusive.
The time has come for the world’s largest developing country and largest bloc of developed countries to define and deepen their strategic partnership. In order to overcome challenges posed by the EU’s ongoing identity crisis, China must promote consistency within and outside Europe and facilitate Europe’s efforts to retain its global clout. For its part, the EU must encourage China’s full participation in global governance.